Thanks to Phil from Betwrestling.com for sending this in:
WWE Elimination Chamber begins in a few hours and it’s safe to say by looking at the current betting lines that the “smart money odds” have not happened yet. There have been organic line moves, but nothing indicating that finishes have leaked. We cannot consider these spoilers, but rather evidence of the predictable nature of WWE booking. We also can’t rule out anomalies to usual booking patterns leading to one or more sports book upsets tonight.
The Men’s Elimination Chamber is for a shot at Brock Lesnar for the WWE Universal Championship at Wrestlemania and Roman Reigns has been favored from the beginning to earn this opportunity. This is greatly fueled by the the assumption that Lesnar vs Reigns will main event Wrestlemania in April. Reigns was at -600 when the global odds were released and have risen only slightly to -650 since then. With Reigns considered a lock, these odds should be much higher at no less than -1000 by now, irregardless of there being no apparent leaks on this match outside of long standing Wrestlemania rumors.
It’s worth noting that at one point Roman’s odds dropped to -420 before stabilizing, so his odds didn’t necessarily move in just one direction. News of Reigns being implicated in a steroid ring has created seeds of doubt that he’s definitely winning this match. Bets against Reigns, as in anyone but Roman winning, are also available at +420. Since the initial odds have been posted, every other competitor has seen their odds drop from the original lines.
Braun Strowman, who had odds of +400 have dropped to +800, cutting his projected chances in half. Still, Strowman is the second most favored after Reigns to win the Chamber match. Seth Rollins, originally at +600 is now at +1100, even after a career highlight on Monday’s Raw Gauntlet match where he not only wrestled for over an hour(a Raw record), but scored victories over both Roman Reigns and John Cena in the process.
Speaking of Cena, while his odds have dropped from +2000 to +3500, his chances of winning have eclipsed that of Finn Balor who was at +1700 initially but is now at +4000. In addition, Elias going from +4300 to +8500 overtook The Miz’s chances, who was at +3500 but now is a dreadful +125000. The Miz being least likely to win tonight is no shock with the rumors of him defending the Intercontinental Championship at Wrestlemania.
The first ever Women’s Elimination Chamber is one of the few specialty matches that the ladies of the WWE have not gotten the opportunity to compete in until now. No major changes in this one and Alexa Bliss, who is defending her RAW Women’s Championship in the match, is still favored to win. Unlike Reigns, her odds actually dropped since the original projections of -280 to -240. As you can see these odds also aren’t as long as they are the Men’s Chamber.
There have been know changes in the “rankings” as far as what female has the best chance of winning, even though the odds have dropped for everyone involved. The next most favorable odds after Bliss are staying with Sasha Banks. Sasha’s opening odds off +190 to a number sure to make her cousin Snoop Dogg proud of at +420. Bayley is still in third place going from +575 to +1000, Sonya Deville in fourth from +600 to +1400 and Mickie James in fifth from +2500 to +10000. Finally, in last place is Mandy Rose and her odds dropped from +4500 to +25000.
Player that bet against the favorites in either Elimination Chamber match stand to see their money multiply in the case of an upset tonight. If the smart money does end up happening last minute, and recent trends suggest that they will not, these odds will drop further for the various underdogs.
The undefeated Asuka will be taking on Nia Jax with the stipulation being that Nia upon victory being added to the Raw Women’s Championship match at Wrestlemania, making it a Triple Threat. While the stipulation itself lends the possibility of Asuka finally being defeated, the odds for Asuka have increased from -750 to -900. Conversely, Jax’s odds have dropped slightly from +450 to +500.
The most competitive odds on the card still lie with “Woken” Matt Hardy vs Bray Wyatt. Matt Hardy is still favored however, with his opening odds of -215 increasing to -270. Wyatt, on the other hand, has seen his odds drop from +165 to +190. An upset in this one is the most likely according to the odds.
Odds have not yet been added for neither the Raw Tag Team Championship match with Cesaro and Sheamus defending against Apollo and Titus O’Neil or the pre-show kickoff match of Gallows and Anderson vs The Miztourage.
WWE Elimination Chamber 2018 Betting Odds
Men’s Elimination Chamber
Roman Reigns -650
Anyone But Roman Reigns +420
Braun Strowman +800
Seth Rollins +1100
John Cena +3500
Finn Balor +4000
The Miz +125000
Women’s Elimination Chamber
Alexa Bliss -320
Anyone Other Than Alexa Bliss +240
Sasha Banks +420
Sonya Deville +1400
Mickie James +10000
Mandy Rose +25000
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Asuka -900 vs Nia Jax +500
Matt Hardy -270 vs Bray Wyatt +190